Sunday, January 13, 2008

Terrible News?

It was one more piece of bad news that set the stock market downward. But listening to the press and the talking heads these past 10 days, I believed it was the terrible unemployment figure that was sending us straight into a recession.

I visited the US Department of Labor Bureau of Labor Statistics to discover than the average unemployment of 4.6% for 2007 was not terrible.

The average rate of 2006 was 4.6%. It was 5.6% in 2000 when George W. took office, 6.9% in 1993 and 7.5% in 1992. So, 4.6% isn't that outstandingly terrible.

Unemployment in Europe averages just under 9%.

Granted, this number (4.6% annual average and 5% for December 2007 alone) is not good news but just part of the picture that Wall Street is responding to.

Two financial gurus I have listened to have proclaimed little or no growth the first half of 2008. Another respected talking head expects the Fed to cut interest rates at least .5% later this month and that will turn things around.

I'll stay tuned, won't you?

'til later

No comments: